Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.7%
Darmstadt
15.5%
Draw
75.8%
Hoffenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Darmstadt
vs
2.67
Hoffenheim
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.567.9%
Over 3.546.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.7%
0-3
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
1-3
8.0%
0-1
7.5%
1-1
7.2%
0-4
6.4%
1-4
5.3%
2-2
3.7%
0-0
3.5%
0-5
3.4%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).