Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.2%
Notts County
10.3%
Draw
3.5%
Weymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
3.06
Notts County
vs
0.55
Weymouth
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.569.8%
Over 3.548.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
13.0%
2-0
12.7%
4-0
9.9%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
5-0
6.1%
4-1
5.4%
1-1
4.9%
5-1
3.3%
0-0
3.1%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).