Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
Everton
30.7%
Draw
28.8%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Everton
vs
1.10
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
10.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
7.8%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).