Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.8%
Newport County
19.4%
Draw
63.8%
Bromley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Newport County
vs
2.10
Bromley
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.3%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-3
7.0%
1-0
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
2-1
4.6%
0-0
4.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-4
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).