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15 Feb 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.7%
Hull
26.5%
Draw
36.8%
Norwich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.47

Hull

vs
1.47

Norwich

Markets

BTTS60.4%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
6.8%
1-0
6.8%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
5.7%
2-0
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).