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07 Mar 2025 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.2%
Śląsk Wrocław
27.7%
Draw
36.1%
Pogoń Szczecin

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Śląsk Wrocław

vs
1.37

Pogoń Szczecin

Markets

BTTS56.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.8%
0-1
7.8%
0-0
7.5%
2-0
6.1%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).