Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.6%
Boston Utd
19.7%
Draw
65.7%
York
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Boston Utd
vs
2.34
York
Markets
BTTS59.2%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.565.8%
Over 3.543.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-1
9.0%
1-3
7.6%
0-3
7.3%
0-1
7.2%
2-2
5.0%
1-4
4.4%
2-1
4.3%
0-4
4.3%
0-0
4.1%
2-3
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).