Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.2%
Castellon
18.3%
Draw
15.4%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Castellon
vs
1.03
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.564.8%
Over 3.542.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
1-1
8.3%
1-0
8.3%
3-1
7.5%
3-0
7.3%
2-2
5.0%
4-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
4.2%
3-2
3.8%
0-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).