Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.4%
Alessandria
31.5%
Draw
32.1%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Alessandria
vs
1.08
Brescia
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.0%
1-0
11.1%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).