Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.8%
Milton Keynes Dons
23.7%
Draw
26.5%
Walsall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
1.11
Walsall
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).