Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.4%
AFC Wimbledon
21.7%
Draw
54.8%
Lincoln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
AFC Wimbledon
vs
1.75
Lincoln
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.7%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.8%
1-3
5.7%
0-3
5.5%
0-0
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).