⚽ FootballData
2 – 3
AHT: 10CSV

09 Jan 2021 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
33.6%
Osnabruck
29.6%
Draw
36.9%
Wurzburger Kickers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Osnabruck

vs
1.28

Wurzburger Kickers

Markets

BTTS51.9%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
0-0
9.5%
0-1
9.4%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
0-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).