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AHT: 01CSV

21 Sept 2019 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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3.0%
Stranraer
18.4%
Draw
78.6%
Falkirk

Expected Goals (xG)

0.20

Stranraer

vs
1.87

Falkirk

Markets

BTTS15.4%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
23.4%
0-2
22.1%
0-3
13.8%
0-0
13.0%
0-4
6.4%
1-1
5.0%
1-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
0-5
2.4%
1-0
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).