Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.5%
Reading
19.7%
Draw
19.8%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Reading
vs
1.02
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.6%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
9.7%
1-1
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
3-0
6.4%
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
5.1%
0-0
4.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).