Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.7%
Almeria
18.4%
Draw
16.0%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.33
Almeria
vs
1.06
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS59.0%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.565.8%
Over 3.544.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.1%
1-1
8.3%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
7.5%
3-0
7.1%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
4-1
4.4%
4-0
4.1%
3-2
4.0%
0-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).