Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.1%
Magdeburg
24.3%
Draw
48.7%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Magdeburg
vs
1.90
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS64.6%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.541.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-1
6.8%
0-2
6.8%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.2%
1-3
5.9%
0-0
4.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-3
4.1%
2-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).