Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.9%
Eibar
28.2%
Draw
25.9%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Eibar
vs
0.89
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
10.2%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).