Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.0%
Oviedo
24.7%
Draw
29.3%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Oviedo
vs
1.21
Almeria
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
7.7%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).