Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.7%
Stevenage
24.8%
Draw
22.6%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Stevenage
vs
0.83
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.8%
0-1
9.5%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.5%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).