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AHT: 00CSV

16 Aug 2025 · 17:30

York

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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6.6%
Truro
13.9%
Draw
79.5%
York

Expected Goals (xG)

0.72

Truro

vs
2.78

York

Markets

BTTS48.8%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.567.9%
Over 3.546.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.6%
0-3
10.8%
1-2
8.4%
0-1
7.9%
1-3
7.8%
0-4
7.5%
1-1
6.6%
1-4
5.4%
0-5
4.2%
0-0
3.5%
2-2
3.0%
1-5
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).