Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.5%
Crawley Town
25.6%
Draw
35.9%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Crawley Town
vs
1.25
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.6%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.3%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).