Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.9%
Concarneau
23.9%
Draw
31.3%
Caen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Concarneau
vs
1.17
Caen
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.5%
1-1
11.3%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).