Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.4%
Cardiff
21.7%
Draw
62.8%
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Cardiff
vs
2.10
Coventry
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.4%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-3
6.9%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
4.7%
2-1
4.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-0
3.7%
1-4
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).