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HHT: 10CSV

04 Feb 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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5.6%
Sivasspor
16.7%
Draw
77.7%
Galatasaray

Expected Goals (xG)

0.69

Sivasspor

vs
2.67

Galatasaray

Markets

BTTS48.0%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.543.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.4%
0-3
11.0%
1-2
8.5%
1-1
8.0%
0-1
7.7%
1-3
7.6%
0-4
7.4%
1-4
5.1%
0-0
5.1%
0-5
3.9%
2-2
2.9%
1-5
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).