Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.8%
Cardiff
17.5%
Draw
74.7%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
Cardiff
vs
2.30
Leeds
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.2%
0-1
11.8%
0-3
10.9%
1-2
8.9%
1-1
8.3%
1-3
6.8%
0-4
6.3%
0-0
5.9%
1-4
3.9%
0-5
2.9%
1-0
2.8%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).