Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.1%
QPR
27.8%
Draw
33.1%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
QPR
vs
1.27
Watford
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
7.9%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).