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AHT: 01

29 Jun 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.6%
Fredrikstad
28.3%
Draw
44.1%
Tromsø

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Fredrikstad

vs
1.27

Tromsø

Markets

BTTS43.6%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.1%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
10.9%
1-0
10.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
3.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).