Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.5%
Man United
23.6%
Draw
12.9%
Welling United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Man United
vs
0.56
Welling United
Markets
BTTS33.8%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.8%
2-0
14.8%
0-0
11.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-0
8.0%
0-1
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-0
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-2
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).