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05 Apr 2026 · 13:00

Lyon

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.0%
Angers
27.4%
Draw
48.6%
Lyon

Expected Goals (xG)

0.81

Angers

vs
1.29

Lyon

Markets

BTTS39.4%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.516.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.6%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
11.6%
1-0
10.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
5.2%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.0%
1-3
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).