Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.8%
Monza
23.6%
Draw
56.5%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Monza
vs
1.69
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
1-1
11.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
7.4%
1-0
6.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).