Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.2%
Getafe
36.3%
Draw
23.5%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Getafe
vs
0.63
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS28.5%
Over 0.578.3%
Over 1.546.3%
Over 2.520.4%
Over 3.57.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
21.7%
1-0
19.1%
0-1
12.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
5.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
3-0
2.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-1
1.7%
0-3
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).