Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.5%
Ath Madrid
20.8%
Draw
11.7%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Ath Madrid
vs
0.69
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.6%
1-0
13.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.0%
0-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
4.5%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).