Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.0%
Torino
27.9%
Draw
27.1%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Torino
vs
0.93
Lecce
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
10.6%
0-1
10.3%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).