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21 Apr 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.2%
Annecy
22.1%
Draw
54.7%
Lorient

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Annecy

vs
1.71

Lorient

Markets

BTTS51.0%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.2%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.7%
0-0
5.7%
1-3
5.5%
0-3
5.5%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).