Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.9%
Sarpsborg 08
22.1%
Draw
37.9%
Brann
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Sarpsborg 08
vs
1.72
Brann
Markets
BTTS68.0%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.546.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
7.1%
1-0
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
0-2
4.5%
3-2
4.2%
2-3
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).