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AHT: 01CSV

04 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.3%
York
23.5%
Draw
18.2%
Bromley

Expected Goals (xG)

1.94

York

vs
1.00

Bromley

Markets

BTTS54.9%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.4%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
0-1
4.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).