Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.7%
Lugo
30.7%
Draw
47.5%
Albacete
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Lugo
vs
1.17
Albacete
Markets
BTTS34.0%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.555.1%
Over 2.528.3%
Over 3.511.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.5%
0-0
15.6%
1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
4.3%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
0-4
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).