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06 Oct 2024 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.6%
Club Brugge
28.4%
Draw
46.0%
Union Berlin

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Club Brugge

vs
1.37

Union Berlin

Markets

BTTS46.2%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
0-1
13.0%
0-0
10.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).