Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.0%
Aston Villa
25.0%
Draw
13.0%
Wolves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Aston Villa
vs
0.73
Wolves
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.9%
1-0
12.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.2%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
4-0
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).