Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.1%
Leeds
28.4%
Draw
36.6%
Brighton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Leeds
vs
1.43
Brighton
Markets
BTTS59.0%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
6.8%
1-0
6.6%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).