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AHT: 02CSV

21 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.2%
Ebbsfleet
25.7%
Draw
39.1%
Gateshead

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Ebbsfleet

vs
1.59

Gateshead

Markets

BTTS62.7%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.3%
1-0
5.9%
0-2
5.8%
0-0
5.5%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).