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09 Apr 2023 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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80.4%
PAOK
14.6%
Draw
5.1%
Volos NFC

Expected Goals (xG)

2.52

PAOK

vs
0.52

Volos NFC

Markets

BTTS37.8%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.536.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
15.2%
3-0
12.8%
1-0
11.5%
4-0
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
1-1
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
2-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).