Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.7%
Estrela
31.7%
Draw
37.6%
Santa Clara
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Estrela
vs
1.10
Santa Clara
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.534.3%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
13.4%
0-1
13.0%
1-0
11.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).