Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.0%
Freiburg
30.4%
Draw
29.7%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Freiburg
vs
1.03
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
11.3%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).