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DHT: 11CSV

03 Feb 2026 · 19:45

Crewe

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.1%
Barnet
28.0%
Draw
31.9%
Crewe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Barnet

vs
1.01

Crewe

Markets

BTTS43.2%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.8%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
7.8%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
3.1%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).