Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.4%
Nottingham Forest
30.5%
Draw
41.1%
Newcastle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Nottingham Forest
vs
1.36
Newcastle
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
10.3%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).