Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.5%
Maidenhead
27.2%
Draw
38.3%
Torquay
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Maidenhead
vs
1.45
Torquay
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.7%
1-0
7.2%
0-0
7.0%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).