Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.3%
Gillingham
26.2%
Draw
18.5%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Gillingham
vs
0.69
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS37.5%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.6%
2-0
12.3%
0-0
11.5%
1-1
11.4%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
2-2
2.9%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).