Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.0%
Stoke
26.1%
Draw
54.0%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Stoke
vs
1.45
Fulham
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.3%
1-1
11.7%
0-2
11.6%
0-0
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.7%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).