Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.2%
Nacional
22.6%
Draw
20.2%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Nacional
vs
0.91
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
7.0%
0-0
6.6%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).